

While that could well be a statistical blip, it cuts in the opposite direction of what the Fed would hope to see - namely, an expanding labor force.In particular, the drop in the jobless rate was paired with a contraction in the labor force: 57,000 fewer Americans were either working or looking for work.

But in the halls of the nation's central bank, it will be interpreted as a sign that their campaign to tighten the screws of monetary policy - for all its effects in making global markets go haywire- is not constraining surging demand. Over the last three months, wages have risen faster than prices, assuming the September Consumer Price Index announced next week comes in about as expected.īetween the lines: That's good news for workers.

We're at a moment in which small changes in the data could have an outsized effect on the Federal Reserve's policy fulcrum, and hence what the economy looks like in 2023 and beyond. Job creation remained robust, the unemployment rate fell to match a five-decade low, and wages rose steadily in September. Most of the time, if a jobs report like the one that came out Friday morning were to be released, there would be only good things to say about it.
